A Comment in Press TV News 28-6-2016 on the tug-of-war between UK and the EU regarding Brexit
Brexit threatens EU’s fragile foundations because (a) it foments the widespread popular dislike of EU’s anti-democratic structure, its pro-capitalist policies and its austerity conditions and (b) it also exacerbates the contradictions between the UK elite and the EU elites.
David Cameron does not want to be the prime minister of the Brexit and he does not have also the political mandate for this.
The Tory Brexiteers – Boris Johnson and the likes – want a velvet divorce with the EU. That is something that would not endager the economic structure of the UK and its relations to the EU and also wont endager the neoliberal policies both in the UK and the EU.
For these reasons UK does not invoke immediately the article 50 but wants to begin the disengagement process later, in September.
EU is oscillating between two opposite position.
The one is confrontational: to punish UK for its decision to disengage from the EU. THis works also as a threat against any other country that might consider following UK’s course. It has been expressed in the declaration of the meeting of the 6 founding the EEC countries.
The other is conciliatory: it wants a velvet divorce that will keep the majority of bilateral ties intact and also would not anger the US. It has been expressed by Merkel’s declaration about patience.
The role of the US is crucial as a tough approach by the EU is contrary to its interests.
So for the immediate future this tug-of-war will continue so long as the EU has not decided which course to follow.